IND Vs NZ Champions Trophy 2025 Final: Crucial Toss Decision

India and New Zealand are set to clash in the Champions Trophy 2025 final at the Dubai International Cricket Stadium. India remains undefeated, while New Zealand carries momentum from a strong semi-final victory. With the final being a day-night match, the toss, pitch conditions, and dew factor will play a crucial role in determining the winning strategy.

Dew in Dubai makes batting easier in the second innings.
Teams chasing have historically had an advantage at this venue.
India’s spin attack could face challenges if bowling second.

Dubai Pitch Report & Toss Decision

The Dubai pitch offers early movement for fast bowlers, making the first few overs challenging for batsmen. Under the lights, swing and bounce help seamers, while spinners become effective in the middle overs.

Toss Advantage

Teams prefer bowling first in Dubai due to the dew factor. Out of 62 ODIs played here, teams chasing have won 37 times, while teams batting first won only 23 times. In the 2025 Champions Trophy, three out of four Dubai games were won by the chasing side.

Impact of Dew on the Match

Dew accumulation in the second innings makes it difficult for bowlers to grip the ball, particularly spinners. This often leads to easier batting conditions, giving an advantage to the team batting second. If India bats first, their strong spin attack featuring Kuldeep Yadav, Axar Patel, Ravindra Jadeja, Varun Chakaravarthy, and Washington Sundar might struggle due to moisture on the ball.

India vs New Zealand: What to Expect?

If India wins the toss, they may opt to bowl first, using early seam movement to restrict New Zealand.
If New Zealand wins the toss, they are also likely to bowl first, maximizing the dew advantage in the chase.
Spinners will be key during the middle overs, especially before the dew sets in.
Batting first requires at least 300+ runs to counter the advantage of chasing under dewy conditions.

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The toss decision in this final will be critical. Both teams understand that batting second provides a statistical advantage, but handling pressure in a final remains a test. If India’s spinners adapt well, they could counter the dew challenge. If New Zealand’s pace attack exploits early conditions, they could put India under pressure. With both teams in top form, the Champions Trophy 2025 final promises an exciting battle.

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